Chinese Super League | Gameweek 22
Aug 11, 2024 at 12.35pm UK
Qingdao Sports Center Guoxin Stadium

Qingdao Youth Island
2 - 2
Beijing Guoan

Carvalho (59'), He (63')
Honglue (86'), Beauguel (88'), Luz (90+9'), Xiuwei (90+7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Liangming (25'), Ziming (90+6')
Li (5')
Yennaris (86')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Qingdao Youth Island and Beijing Guoan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qingdao Youth Island

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Qingdao Youth Island 1-1 Cangzhou
Friday, August 2 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 2-1 Sh. Shenhua
Sunday, August 4 at 12.35pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 54.66%. A win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 22.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Qingdao Youth Island win was 2-1 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Qingdao Youth IslandDrawBeijing Guoan
22.78% (0.004999999999999 0)22.55% (0.082000000000001 0.08)54.66% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)
Both teams to score 57.25% (-0.271 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.67% (-0.365 -0.37)42.33% (0.36 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.26% (-0.364 -0.36)64.73% (0.361 0.36)
Qingdao Youth Island Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.68% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)32.32% (0.195 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.17% (-0.221 -0.22)68.82% (0.218 0.22)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.59% (-0.15600000000001 -0.16)15.41% (0.154 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.76% (-0.293 -0.29)44.23% (0.288 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Qingdao Youth Island 22.78%
    Beijing Guoan 54.66%
    Draw 22.55%
Qingdao Youth IslandDrawBeijing Guoan
2-1 @ 5.94%
1-0 @ 5.63% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 3.18% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 1.2%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 22.78%
1-1 @ 10.52% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-0 @ 4.98% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.55%
1-2 @ 9.84%
0-1 @ 9.31% (0.1 0.1)
0-2 @ 8.71% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.13% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.43%
2-3 @ 3.46% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.87% (-0.031 -0.03)
0-4 @ 2.54% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-5 @ 1.07% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.95% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 54.66%

Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 7
Beijing Guoan
4-1
Qingdao Youth Island
Ngadeu-Ngadjui (6'), Yennaris (63'), Ziming (75'), Adegbenro (90+6')
Chen (90')
Haroyan (53')