Chinese Super League | Gameweek 12
May 17, 2024 at 1pm UK
Changchun's People Stadium

Changchun
3 - 2
Beijing Guoan

Serginho (4'), Guilherme (67'), Zulj (90+9' pen.)
Guilherme (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Abreu (30', 90+3')
Liangming (76'), Yennaris (80'), Wang (90+3')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Changchun Yatai and Beijing Guoan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Changchun Yatai

All competitions
Last Game: Shanghai Port 5-2 Changchun
Friday, May 10 at 1pm in Chinese Super League

Beijing Guoan

All competitions
Last Game: Beijing Guoan 3-2 Meizhou Hakka
Saturday, May 11 at 1pm in Chinese Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Beijing Guoan win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Changchun Yatai had a probability of 20.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Beijing Guoan win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Changchun Yatai win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.

Result
Changchun YataiDrawBeijing Guoan
20.81% (0.196 0.2)23.56% (-0.116 -0.12)55.63% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 51.2% (0.631 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.96% (0.697 0.7)49.03% (-0.7 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.89% (0.629 0.63)71.11% (-0.63 -0.63)
Changchun Yatai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (0.598 0.6)37.96% (-0.59999999999999 -0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (0.575 0.57)74.73% (-0.577 -0.58)
Beijing Guoan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.53% (0.224 0.22)17.47% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.05% (0.391 0.39)47.94% (-0.393 -0.39)
Score Analysis
    Changchun Yatai 20.81%
    Beijing Guoan 55.61%
    Draw 23.55%
Changchun YataiDrawBeijing Guoan
1-0 @ 6.42% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-1 @ 5.43% (0.062 0.06)
2-0 @ 3.11% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.75% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.53% (0.053 0.05)
3-0 @ 1% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 1.56%
Total : 20.81%
1-1 @ 11.2% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.63% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.55%
0-1 @ 11.56% (-0.25 -0.25)
0-2 @ 10.09% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-2 @ 9.78% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
0-3 @ 5.87% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.69% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.071 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.56% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 2.48% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.2% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 55.61%

Head to Head
Sep 22, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 26
Changchun
1-1
Beijing Guoan
Zulj (34')
Zhang (12'), Teng (17'), Mincheng (90+2')
Abreu (13')
Soares (13'), Wang (47'), Abreu (90'), Naibijiang (90+9')
Soares (0')
Jun 2, 2023 12.35pm
Gameweek 11
Beijing Guoan
4-3
Changchun
Souza (29', 41'), Yang (66'), Kang (87')
Dabao (90+6')
Leonardo (22', 49'), Long (65')
Zulj (75'), Wu (90+4')
Dec 15, 2022 7am
Gameweek 31
Beijing Guoan
3-0
Changchun
Ziming (31', 51'), Zhang (63' pen.)
Oct 24, 2022 8.30am
Gameweek 19
Changchun
0-1
Beijing Guoan
Zhang (35')
Aug 12, 2021 1.30pm
Gameweek 14
Beijing Guoan
2-1
Changchun
Zhang (53', 90')
Tianyi (57'), Li (77'), Ziming (83'), Xizhe (90+4'), Bai (90+4')
Negrao (74')
Weihui (23')