

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 38.69%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 36.28% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Ayr United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Queen's Park | Draw | Ayr United |
| 36.28% ( | 25.03% ( | 38.69% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.17% ( | 45.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.86% ( | 68.14% ( |
| Queen's Park Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( | 24.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.71% ( | 59.29% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.55% ( | 23.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.54% ( | 57.45% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Queen's Park | Draw | Ayr United |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 1-0 @ 8.1% ( 2-0 @ 5.66% ( 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 4-2 @ 0.97% ( 4-0 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.86% Total : 36.28% | 1-1 @ 11.75% ( 2-2 @ 5.95% ( 0-0 @ 5.8% ( 3-3 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 25.03% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0-1 @ 8.41% ( 0-2 @ 6.1% ( 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0-3 @ 2.95% ( 2-3 @ 2.88% ( 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 2-4 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.1% Total : 38.69% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 54 | 25 | 29 | 57 |
| 2 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 48 | 25 | 23 | 54 |
| 3 | Livingston | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 53 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 38 |
| 5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 33 |
| 6 | Raith Rovers | 26 | 10 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 36 | -8 | 33 |
| 7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 31 |
| 8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 27 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 28 |
| 9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 27 |
| 10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 27 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 21 | 52 | -31 | 17 |
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