

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 49.7% ( | 23.76% ( | 26.53% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.26% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.78% ( | 44.21% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.41% ( | 66.59% ( |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.11% ( | 17.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.33% ( | 48.66% ( |
| Partick Thistle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.73% ( | 30.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.56% ( | 66.43% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle |
| 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 2-0 @ 8.02% ( 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 3-0 @ 4.6% ( 3-2 @ 3.29% ( 4-1 @ 2.37% ( 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 4-2 @ 1.41% ( Other @ 3.64% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0-2 @ 3.87% ( 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0-3 @ 1.54% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 26.53% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 72 | 33 | 39 | 73 |
| 2 | Livingston | 36 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 55 | 27 | 28 | 70 |
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 63 |
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 55 |
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 53 |
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 48 |
| 7 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 35 |
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 |
| 9 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 29 |
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 21 |
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