

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.32%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle | 
| 49.7% (  0.3) | 23.76% (  -0.02) | 26.53% (  -0.27) | 
| Both teams to score 57.26% (  -0.17) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 55.78% (  -0.12) | 44.21% (  0.12) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 33.41% (  -0.11) | 66.59% (  0.11) | 
| Ayr United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.11% (  0.07) | 17.88% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.33% (  0.12) | 48.66% (  -0.12) | 
| Partick Thistle Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 69.73% (  -0.27) | 30.26% (  0.27) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.56% (  -0.32) | 66.43% (  0.32) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Ayr United | Draw | Partick Thistle | 
| 2-1 @ 9.58% (  0.02) 1-0 @ 9.32% (  0.07) 2-0 @ 8.02% (  0.08) 3-1 @ 5.5% (  0.02) 3-0 @ 4.6% (  0.05) 3-2 @ 3.29% (  -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.37% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 1.98% (  0.03) 4-2 @ 1.41% (  -0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 49.7% | 1-1 @ 11.13% 2-2 @ 5.73% (  -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.41% (  0.03) 3-3 @ 1.31% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.76% | 1-2 @ 6.65% (  -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.47% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.87% (  -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.65% (  -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.28% (  -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.54% (  -0.03) Other @ 3.07% Total : 26.53% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 36 | 22 | 7 | 7 | 72 | 33 | 39 | 73 | 
| 2 | Livingston | 36 | 20 | 10 | 6 | 55 | 27 | 28 | 70 | 
| 3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 63 | 
| 4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 36 | 15 | 10 | 11 | 43 | 38 | 5 | 55 | 
| 5 | Raith Rovers | 36 | 15 | 8 | 13 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 53 | 
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 48 | 
| 7 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 43 | -15 | 35 | 
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 35 | 
| 9 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 34 | 62 | -28 | 29 | 
| 10 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 36 | 10 | 6 | 20 | 38 | 64 | -26 | 21 | 
| > Scottish Championship Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
