

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Airdrieonians | 
| 44.25% (  -0.32) | 24.06% (  -0.03) | 31.69% (  0.34) | 
| Both teams to score 59.81% (  0.28) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.57% (  0.29) | 42.43% (  -0.29) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 35.17% (  0.29) | 64.83% (  -0.29) | 
| Ayr United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.61% (  -0.02) | 19.38% (  0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.81% (  -0.03) | 51.19% (  0.02) | 
| Airdrieonians Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.19% (  0.36) | 25.81% (  -0.36) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.23% (  0.48) | 60.77% (  -0.48) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Ayr United | Draw | Airdrieonians | 
| 2-1 @ 9.12% (  -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.21% (  -0.11) 2-0 @ 6.73% (  -0.1) 3-1 @ 4.99% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.68% (  -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.38% (  0.02) 4-1 @ 2.05% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.51% (  -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.39% (  0.01) Other @ 3.2% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 11.11% (  -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.18% (  0.04) 0-0 @ 5% (  -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.53% (  0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 7.53% (  0.05) 0-1 @ 6.78% (  -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.59% (  0.03) 1-3 @ 3.4% (  0.06) 2-3 @ 2.79% (  0.05) 0-3 @ 2.07% (  0.04) 1-4 @ 1.15% (  0.03) 2-4 @ 0.94% (  0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.69% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 
| 2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 
| 3 | Livingston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 
| 4 | Raith Rovers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 
| 5 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3 | 
| 6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 
| 7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 | 
| 8 | Partick ThistlePartick | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 | 
| 9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 | 
| 10 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 | 
| > Scottish Championship Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
