Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 44.25%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
Result | ||
Ayr United | Draw | Airdrieonians |
44.25% (![]() | 24.06% (![]() | 31.69% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.81% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.57% (![]() | 42.43% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.17% (![]() | 64.83% (![]() |
Ayr United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.61% (![]() | 19.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.81% (![]() | 51.19% (![]() |
Airdrieonians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.19% (![]() | 25.81% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.23% (![]() | 60.77% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Ayr United | Draw | Airdrieonians |
2-1 @ 9.12% (![]() 1-0 @ 8.21% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.99% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.38% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.51% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.39% ( ![]() Other @ 3.2% Total : 44.25% | 1-1 @ 11.11% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.05% | 1-2 @ 7.53% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.78% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.59% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.4% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.15% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.44% Total : 31.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 6 |
2 | FalkirkFalkirk | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6 |
3 | Livingston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
4 | Raith Rovers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
5 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 3 |
6 | Greenock MortonMorton | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
7 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1 |
8 | Partick ThistlePartick | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
9 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -2 | 1 |
10 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 0 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |