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Aberdeen logo
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Airdrieonians

Aberdeen
2 - 1
Airdrieonians

Shinnie (49'), Clarkson (59')
Heltne Nilsen (42'), Shinnie (73'), Molloy (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wilson (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Scottish League Cup clash between Aberdeen and Airdrieonians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: East Kilbride 0-4 Aberdeen
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dumbarton 3-4 Airdrieonians
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

We said: Aberdeen 3-1 Airdrieonians

Airdrieonians may be on a good run coming into this game, scoring 12 goals and conceding just three in their last two matches, but the hosts boast a much stronger squad, and we expect them to come out with a comfortable win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 51.1%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 1-2 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aberdeen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Aberdeen.

Result
AberdeenDrawAirdrieonians
51.1% (-0.33600000000001 -0.34) 23.14% (0.050000000000001 0.05) 25.76% (0.283 0.28)
Both teams to score 58.68% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.99% (0.013999999999996 0.01)42.01% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)64.41% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.46% (-0.119 -0.12)16.54% (0.114 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.7% (-0.209 -0.21)46.3% (0.204 0.2)
Airdrieonians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.31% (0.227 0.23)29.69% (-0.232 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.25% (0.276 0.28)65.74% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 51.1%
    Airdrieonians 25.76%
    Draw 23.14%
AberdeenDrawAirdrieonians
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.84% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.95% (-0.068000000000001 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.79% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.77% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.15% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.58% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 51.1%
1-1 @ 10.73% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.025 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.14%
1-2 @ 6.52% (0.052 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.96% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.62% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.038 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.025 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.47% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 25.76%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Airdrieonians

Aberdeen
87.0%
Draw
8.7%
Airdrieonians
4.3%
23
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