MX23RW : Friday, May 16 17:30:33| >> :60:55:55:
Partick Thistle
Scottish Premiership Playoffs | Play-offs - Quarter-finals | 1st Leg
May 6, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Energy Check Stadium
Ayr United

Partick
0 - 1
Ayr


Fitzpatrick (7'), Turner (24'), Graham (45+4'), Graham (45+4'), Crawford (45'), O'Reilly (83')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Murphy (55')
Oakley (19'), Agbaire (78'), Henderson (90+2'), Clarke (90+3')
Coverage of the Scottish Premiership Playoffs Play-offs - Quarter-finals clash between Partick Thistle and Ayr United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Livingston 0-1 Partick
Friday, May 2 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: Airdrieonians 0-1 Ayr
Friday, May 2 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Partick Thistle had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Partick Thistle win was 1-0 (9.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Ayr United in this match.

Result
Partick ThistleDrawAyr United
32.61% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 26.63% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 40.76% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 51.53% (0.014999999999993 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.66% (0.021999999999998 0.02)53.34% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.12% (0.018999999999998 0.02)74.88% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Partick Thistle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.41% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)30.6% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)66.83% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Ayr United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.25% (0.028000000000006 0.03)25.75% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.31% (0.038999999999994 0.04)60.69% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Partick Thistle 32.61%
    Ayr United 40.75%
    Draw 26.62%
Partick ThistleDrawAyr United
1-0 @ 9.33% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.5% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-0 @ 5.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.01%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 32.61%
1-1 @ 12.65% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.88% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.62%
0-1 @ 10.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.004999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 7.25% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.88% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 3.28% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 40.75%

How you voted: Partick vs Ayr

Partick Thistle
62.5%
Draw
8.3%
Ayr United
29.2%
24
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 29
Partick
2-0
Ayr
Chalmers (19'), McBeth (27')
Crawford (12'), Turner (36'), Reid (43'), Bannigan (81'), McBeth (85')

McKinnon (51')
Jan 25, 2025 3pm
Gameweek 22
Ayr
2-1
Partick
Oakley (19', 36')
Oakley (3')
McAllister (76')
Milne (87')
Crawford (7'), Bannigan (72')
Dec 7, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 16
Partick
1-0
Ayr
Turner (82' pen.)

Musonda (31'), Devlin (39'), Stanger (54'), Rus (71'), Oakley (88')
Sep 14, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 5
Ayr
1-1
Partick
Dowds (25' pen.)
Oakley (35'), Howley (45+1'), Stanger (90+5')
Milne (74')
O'Reilly (29'), Crawford (41'), McBeth (44')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Partick
0-0
Ayr
Willoughby (88')
rhs 2.0
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