MX23RW : Thursday, March 27 02:08:32| >> :600:110532:110532:
UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Slovenia national football team
Nations League | Playoffs B/C | 2nd Leg
Mar 23, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stadion Stozice
Slovakia national football team

Slovenia
1 - 0
Slovakia

Gnezda Cerin (95')
Gnezda Cerin (63'), Drkusic (88'), Janza (100'), Petrovic (101'), Kramer (118')
FT
(aet)

Duda (67'), (90'), Suslov (100'), Lobotka (112')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Slovenia and Slovakia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions
Last Game: Slovakia 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Slovakia

All competitions
Last Game: Slovakia 0-0 Slovenia
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We say: Slovenia 1-2 Slovakia (Slovakia win 2-1 on aggregate)

 This is shaping up to be a fascinating battle, and we are expecting it to be close; it would not be a surprise to see this game go all the way to penalties, but we believe that Slovakia will be able to get the job done in extra time. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Slovenia had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Slovenia win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%).

Result
SloveniaDrawSlovakia
33.27% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07) 26% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 40.72% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Both teams to score 53.74% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.42% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)50.58% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.5% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)72.49% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.2% (-0.091000000000008 -0.09)28.79% (0.089000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (-0.114 -0.11)64.64% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.47% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)24.52% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.01% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)58.99% (0.020999999999994 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 33.27%
    Slovakia 40.73%
    Draw 25.99%
SloveniaDrawSlovakia
1-0 @ 8.79% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.19% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 33.27%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.06% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 9.92% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.97% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 3.27% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43%
0-4 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 40.73%

How you voted: Slovenia vs Slovakia

Slovenia
40.8%
Draw
28.6%
Slovakia
30.6%
49
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
Playoffs B/C 1st Leg
Slovakia
0-0
Slovenia
Petrovic (15')
> Preview
Nov 11, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
2-2
Slovenia
Duda (58' pen.), Strelec (74')
Almasi (20'), Pekarik (30')
Zajc (18'), Mevlja (62')
Blazic (27'), Stojanovic (80')
Blazic (57')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
1-1
Slovakia
Stojanovic (42')
Ilicic (66'), Gnezda Cerin (90+3')
Bozenik (32')
Schranz (73'), Duda (90+5')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
1-0
Slovenia
Nemec (81')
Oct 8, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
1-0
Slovakia
Kronaveter (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal291610353242958
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest29166749351454
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham2912984338545
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd29107123740-337
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham2997133349-1634
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2975174058-1826
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!