UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

Austria national football team
Nations League | League B
Nov 17, 2024 at 5pm UK
Ernst-Happel-Stadion
Slovenia national football team

Austria
1 - 1
Slovenia

Schmid (27')
Laimer (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gnezda Cerin (81')
Brekalo (16'), Gnezda Cerin (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Austria and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-2 Austria
Thursday, November 14 at 3pm in Nations League

Slovenia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Slovenia 1-4 Norway
Thursday, November 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 20.68%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
AustriaDrawSlovenia
53.89% (0.206 0.21)25.43% (0.28 0.28)20.68% (-0.482 -0.48)
Both teams to score 45.64% (-1.395 -1.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.67% (-1.506 -1.51)56.33% (1.509 1.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.64% (-1.231 -1.23)77.36% (1.234 1.23)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (-0.51600000000001 -0.52)20.94% (0.521 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.33% (-0.819 -0.82)53.68% (0.821 0.82)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.72% (-1.377 -1.38)42.28% (1.38 1.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.33% (-1.207 -1.21)78.68% (1.21 1.21)
Score Analysis
    Austria 53.89%
    Slovenia 20.68%
    Draw 25.43%
AustriaDrawSlovenia
1-0 @ 13.84% (0.58 0.58)
2-0 @ 10.82% (0.29 0.29)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-0 @ 5.64% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 4.86% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-0 @ 2.21% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.09% (-0.141 -0.14)
4-1 @ 1.9% (-0.084 -0.08)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 53.89%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.85% (0.502 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.01% (-0.202 -0.2)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.154 0.15)
1-2 @ 5.13% (-0.173 -0.17)
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.47% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 20.68%

How you voted: Austria vs Slovenia

Austria
80.9%
Draw
11.5%
Slovenia
7.6%
131
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 7.45pm
League B
Slovenia
1-1
Austria
Sesko (16' pen.)
Gnezda Cerin (54'), Janza (76')
Laimer (28')
Sabitzer (35'), Laimer (35'), Prass (45'), Mwene (83')
> Preview
Oct 13, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
0-1
Austria

Struna (16'), Bezjak (57')
Popovic (89')
Posch (21')
Ulmer (36'), Hinteregger (64'), Laimer (88'), Sabitzer (90')
Jun 7, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Austria
1-0
Slovenia
Burgstaller (74')
Lazaro (80'), Burgstaller (93')

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