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UEFA Nations League

Slovakia national football team
Nations League | Playoffs B/C | 1st Leg
Mar 20, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Tehelne pole
Slovenia national football team

Slovakia
0 - 0
Slovenia

FT

Petrovic (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Slovakia and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovakia

All competitions
Last Game: Slovakia 1-0 Estonia
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Slovenia

All competitions
Last Game: Austria 1-1 Slovenia
Sunday, November 17 at 5pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 63.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 14.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.15%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
SlovakiaDrawSlovenia
63.22% (-0.621 -0.62)22.48% (0.062999999999999 0.06)14.3% (0.56 0.56)
Both teams to score 42.31% (1.124 1.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.56% (0.763 0.76)54.44% (-0.761 -0.76)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.2% (0.632 0.63)75.8% (-0.63 -0.63)
Slovakia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.28% (0.055000000000007 0.06)16.72% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.37% (0.097999999999999 0.1)46.63% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.8% (1.317 1.32)49.2% (-1.317 -1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.9% (0.916 0.92)84.1% (-0.914 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Slovakia 63.21%
    Slovenia 14.3%
    Draw 22.47%
SlovakiaDrawSlovenia
1-0 @ 14.71% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-0 @ 13.15% (-0.35 -0.35)
2-1 @ 9.33% (0.111 0.11)
3-0 @ 7.84% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-1 @ 5.56% (0.076 0.08)
4-0 @ 3.51% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.039 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.099 0.1)
5-0 @ 1.25% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 63.21%
1-1 @ 10.43% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.23% (-0.247 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.31% (0.161 0.16)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 22.47%
0-1 @ 5.84% (0.048 0.05)
1-2 @ 3.7% (0.173 0.17)
0-2 @ 2.07% (0.094 0.09)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 14.3%

How you voted: Slovakia vs Slovenia

Slovakia
72.7%
Draw
21.2%
Slovenia
6.1%
66
Head to Head
Nov 11, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
2-2
Slovenia
Duda (58' pen.), Strelec (74')
Almasi (20'), Pekarik (30')
Zajc (18'), Mevlja (62')
Blazic (27'), Stojanovic (80')
Blazic (57')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
1-1
Slovakia
Stojanovic (42')
Ilicic (66'), Gnezda Cerin (90+3')
Bozenik (32')
Schranz (73'), Duda (90+5')
> Preview
Sep 1, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
1-0
Slovenia
Nemec (81')
Oct 8, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
1-0
Slovakia
Kronaveter (74')