Nations League | Playoffs B/C | 2nd Leg
Mar 23, 2025 at 5pm UK
Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia
Iceland1 - 3Kosovo
FT(HT: 1-2)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kosovo 2-1 Iceland
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current League B4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Wales | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Montenegro | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Turkey | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
We said: Iceland 1-1 Kosovo (Kosovo win 3-2 on aggregate)
We certainly anticipate a tight contest between two resilient sides with quality in their ranks on Sunday. With a slender lead to defend, Kosovo should have enough to stay ahead on neutral ground. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kosovo win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Iceland had a probability of 33.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kosovo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Iceland win was 1-0 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kosovo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Iceland | Draw | Kosovo |
33.19% ( 1.65) | 27.24% ( 0.35) | 39.57% ( -2.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.78% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
