UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League

France national football team
Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Mar 23, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de France
Croatia national football team

France
2 - 0
Croatia

Olise (52'), Dembele (80')
Mbappe (37'), Kolo (103')
FT
(aet)

Stanisic (35'), Gvardiol (45+2'), Kovacic (45'), Caleta-Car (61'), Livakovic (74'), Jakic (90+5')
France win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

France are through to the UEFA Nations League semi-finals thanks to a 5-4 penalty-shootout win over Croatia following a 2-2 aggregate draw at the Stade de France.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between France and Croatia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Sunday's UEFA Nations League quarter-final second leg against Croatia.

Form, Standings, Stats

France

All competitions
Last Game: Croatia 2-0 France
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Croatia

All competitions
Last Game: Croatia 2-0 France
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a France win with a probability of 54.83%. A win for Croatia had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a France win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Croatia win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.55%).

Result
FranceDrawCroatia
54.83% (-0.105 -0.11)22.58% (0.031000000000002 0.03)22.59% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Both teams to score 56.89% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.32% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)42.68% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.91% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)65.08% (0.056999999999988 0.06)
France Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.52% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)15.48% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.64% (-0.105 -0.11)44.36% (0.105 0.11)
Croatia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.31% (0.034000000000006 0.03)32.68% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.76% (0.038 0.04)69.23% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    France 54.83%
    Croatia 22.59%
    Draw 22.57%
FranceDrawCroatia
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-0 @ 9.44% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.81% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.12% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.42% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.86% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.55% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.6% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 54.83%
1-1 @ 10.55% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.51% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 5.06% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.57%
1-2 @ 5.9% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 5.66% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.16% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.2% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 22.59%

How you voted: France vs Croatia

France
75.9%
Draw
7.6%
Croatia
16.6%
145
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals 1st Leg
Croatia
2-0
France
Budimir (26'), Perisic (45+1')

Tchouameni (74'), Upamecano (75')
> Match Report
Jun 13, 2022 7.45pm
League A
France
0-1
Croatia

Guendouzi (18'), Pavard (62'), Rabiot (67')
Modric (5' pen.)
Brozovic (50')
> Preview
Jun 6, 2022 7.45pm
League A
Croatia
1-1
France
Kramaric (83' pen.)
Vida (21')
Rabiot (52')
Kimpembe (85')
> Preview
Oct 14, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Croatia
1-2
France
Vlasic (64')
Vlasic (5'), Uremovic (57'), Lovren (90+2')
Griezmann (8'), Mbappe (79')
Digne (5'), Pogba (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 8, 2020 7.45pm
League A
France
4-2
Croatia
Griezmann (43'), Livakovic (45+1' og.), Upamecano (65'), Giroud (77' pen.)
Lenglet (38'), Kante (59'), N'Kemboanza Mike Christopher Nzonzi (68')
Lovren (17'), Brekalo (55')
Caleta-Car (34'), Brozovic (76'), Lovren (76')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
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