Nations League | League A
Sep 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Opus Arena
Croatia1 - 0Poland
Form, Standings, Stats
Nations League
Last Game: Portugal 2-1 Croatia
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Italy | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | -3 | 2 |
| 4 | Albania | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Nations League
Last Game: Scotland 2-3 Poland
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | France | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Netherlands | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Poland | 3 | -3 | 1 |
We said: Croatia 1-1 Poland
Croatia could be frustrated in their attempt to halt a worrying winless run, as Poland will be buoyed by events on Thursday and have enough nous to score at least once. With the hosts missing some players - and others are now a fading force - the Eagles can fly home with another point towards their Group 1 total. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Croatia win with a probability of 50.72%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Poland had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Croatia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Poland win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Croatia in this match.
| Result | ||
| Croatia | Draw | Poland |
50.72% ( 0.23) | 26.26% ( -0.01) | 23.02% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 46.18% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
