Copa Libertadores | Second Round | 1st Leg
Feb 20, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Olimpico Atahualpa
El Nacional0 - 1Barcelona
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Second Round clash between El Nacional and Barcelona SC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: El Nacional 2-1 Blooming (4-3 pen.)
Friday, February 14 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Friday, February 14 at 12.30am in Copa Libertadores
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona SC win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for El Nacional had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona SC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.53%). The likeliest El Nacional win was 1-0 (8.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona SC in this match.
| Result | ||
| El Nacional | Draw | Barcelona SC |
31.22% ( 0.07) | 26.24% ( 0) | 42.55% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.26% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
