Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
May 5, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti
River Plate4 - 1Velez Sarsfield
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Velez Sarsfield.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Boca Juniors
Sunday, April 27 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, April 27 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
17
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Gimnasia
Tuesday, April 29 at 1.45am in Argentine Primera Division
Tuesday, April 29 at 1.45am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
6
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 59.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 16.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that River Plate would win this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
59.57% ( -0.1) | 23.72% ( 0.02) | 16.7% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 43.94% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
