MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 09:09:07| >> :300:86500:86500:
Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
May 3, 2025 at 11pm UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
vs.
Velez Sarsfield

Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Velez Sarsfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Boca Juniors
Sunday, April 27 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Gimnasia
Tuesday, April 29 at 1.45am in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a River Plate win with a probability of 59.34%. A draw has a probability of 23.7% and a win for Velez Sarsfield has a probability of 16.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win is 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.04%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it is 0-1 (6.5%).

Result
River PlateDrawVelez Sarsfield
59.34% (-2.581 -2.58) 23.69% (1.245 1.25) 16.97% (1.336 1.34)
Both teams to score 44.53% (-0.824 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.4% (-2.595 -2.6)54.6% (2.596 2.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.06% (-2.2 -2.2)75.94% (2.2 2.2)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.84% (-1.837 -1.84)18.16% (1.838 1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.87% (-3.233 -3.23)49.13% (3.233 3.23)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.4% (0.21 0.21)45.6% (-0.21 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.59% (0.167 0.17)81.4% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 59.33%
    Velez Sarsfield 16.97%
    Draw 23.69%
River PlateDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 14.12% (0.57 0.57)
2-0 @ 12.04% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-1 @ 9.46% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-0 @ 6.85% (-0.57 -0.57)
3-1 @ 5.38% (-0.414 -0.41)
4-0 @ 2.92% (-0.441 -0.44)
4-1 @ 2.3% (-0.331 -0.33)
3-2 @ 2.11% (-0.149 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.223 -0.22)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.123 -0.12)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 59.33%
1-1 @ 11.09% (0.51 0.51)
0-0 @ 8.28% (0.804 0.8)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 23.69%
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.665 0.67)
1-2 @ 4.36% (0.226 0.23)
0-2 @ 2.55% (0.275 0.28)
1-3 @ 1.14% (0.065 0.07)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 16.97%

Who will win Saturday's Argentine Primera Division clash between River Plate and Velez Sarsfield?

River Plate
Draw
Velez Sarsfield
River Plate
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Velez Sarsfield
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 1am
Gameweek 18
River Plate
1-1
Velez Sarsfield
Borja (49' pen.)
Pezzella (66')
Romero (26')
Bouzat (45'), Jonas Rodriguez Lucas (86')
Feb 4, 2024 10.15pm
Gameweek 3
River Plate
5-0
Velez Sarsfield
Colidio (6', 45'), Borja (20', 31', 55')
Aliendro (45+2')

Gomez (27'), Florentin (53'), Bouzat (65')
Sep 3, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 3
Velez Sarsfield
2-0
River Plate
Aquino (22'), Castro (60')
Gomez (82'), Romero (86'), Florentin (90+3'), Gordillo (90+6')

Perez (49')
May 30, 2023 1.30am
Gameweek 18
Velez Sarsfield
2-2
River Plate
Pratto (52'), Ortega (86')
Godin (31'), Gianetti (48')
Rojas (26'), Beltran (82')
de la Cruz (43'), Solari (57'), Herrera (69')
Jul 18, 2022 12.30am
Gameweek 8
Velez Sarsfield
2-2
River Plate
Bou (20' pen.), Osorio (90+4')
Beltran (7'), De la Cruz (30')
rhs 2.0
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