

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 35.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 2-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Frosinone | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 35.23% ( | 24.55% ( | 40.21% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.25% ( | 43.74% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.86% ( | 66.13% ( |
| Frosinone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.64% ( | 24.36% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.24% ( | 58.76% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.23% ( | 21.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.04% ( | 54.96% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Frosinone | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 1-0 @ 7.49% ( 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 3-1 @ 3.8% ( 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 3-0 @ 2.49% ( 4-1 @ 1.34% ( 4-2 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.85% Total : 35.23% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0-0 @ 5.3% ( 3-3 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0-2 @ 6.16% ( 1-3 @ 4.42% ( 0-3 @ 3.13% ( 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 1-4 @ 1.69% ( 0-4 @ 1.19% ( 2-4 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.21% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 78 |
| 2 | Inter Milan | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 75 | 33 | 42 | 77 |
| 3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 73 | 32 | 41 | 71 |
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 16 | 16 | 4 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 64 |
| 5 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 59 | 46 | 13 | 64 |
| 6 | Roma | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 34 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Bologna | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 41 | 13 | 62 |
| 8 | AC Milan | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 58 | 40 | 18 | 60 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 36 | 17 | 8 | 11 | 54 | 37 | 17 | 59 |
| 10 | Como | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 49 | -1 | 48 |
| 11 | Torino | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 44 |
| 12 | Udinese | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Genoa | 36 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 40 |
| 14 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 33 |
| 15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 33 |
| 16 | Parma | 36 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 32 |
| 17 | VeneziaVenezia | 36 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 29 |
| 18 | Empoli | 36 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 29 | 56 | -27 | 28 |
| 19 | Lecce | 36 | 6 | 10 | 20 | 25 | 58 | -33 | 28 |
| R | Monza | 36 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 64 | -37 | 18 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
