MX23RW : Thursday, May 18 05:06:17| >> :120:20306:20306:
Dortmund logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 11, 2022 at 8pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Sevilla logo
Dortmund
1 - 1
Sevilla
Bellingham (35')
Ozcan (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Kouassi (18')
Sampaoli (60'), Gudelj (84'), Angel Carmona (90'), Bono (90+3')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Borussia Dortmund and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Dortmund 2-1 Sevilla

Despite the chance of a new manager bounce, Dortmund are a formidable force at home in Europe. The home side also know that victory will guarantee their qualification to the knockout stage and this should be enough motivation to see them over the line. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.86% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (11.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawSevilla
38.09% (0.35700000000001 0.36) 29.04% (0.154 0.15) 32.86% (-0.508 -0.51)
Both teams to score 44.51% (-0.51 -0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.84% (-0.583 -0.58)62.15% (0.586 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.15% (-0.43 -0.43)81.85% (0.434 0.43)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.47% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)31.53% (0.081 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.07% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)67.93% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01% (-0.66800000000001 -0.67)34.99% (0.671 0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.27% (-0.708 -0.71)71.73% (0.712 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 38.09%
    Sevilla 32.86%
    Draw 29.04%
Borussia DortmundDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 12.73% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.35% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 2.97% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.043 0.04)
3-2 @ 1.56% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 38.09%
1-1 @ 13.37% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.03% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 29.04%
0-1 @ 11.58% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-2 @ 7.02% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-2 @ 6.08% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.088 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.13% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.42% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 32.86%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Sevilla

Borussia Dortmund
83.0%
Draw
8.0%
Sevilla
9.0%
324
Head to Head
Oct 5, 2022 8pm
Group G
Sevilla
1-4
Dortmund
En-Nesyri (51')
Gudelj (3')
Guerreiro (6'), Bellingham (41'), Adeyemi (43'), Brandt (75')
Mar 9, 2021 8pm
Dortmund
2-2
Sevilla
Braut Haaland (35', 54' pen.)
Morey (20'), Braut Haaland (55'), Can (67')
En-Nesyri (69' pen., 90+6')
Acuna (40'), Kounde (51'), Jordan (55'), Oscar (71'), Fernando (76'), Carlos (77')
Feb 17, 2021 8pm
Sevilla
2-3
Dortmund
Suso (7'), De Jong (84')
Oscar (88'), Lopetegui (90+5')
Dahoud (19'), Braut Haaland (27', 43')
Hummels (73'), Braut Haaland (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Manchester CityMan City35274492316185
2Arsenal36256583424181
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351812563313266
4Manchester UnitedMan Utd35206951411066
5Liverpool36198970422865
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341771066452158
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs36176136559657
8Aston Villa36176134844457
9Brentford36131495445953
10Fulham36156155249351
11Chelsea351110143641-543
12Crystal Palace361110153746-943
13Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36117183052-2240
14Bournemouth36116193769-3239
15West Ham UnitedWest Ham36107193852-1437
16Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest36810183667-3134
17Everton36711183256-2432
18Leeds UnitedLeeds36710194671-2531
19Leicester CityLeicester3686224967-1830
RSouthampton3666243166-3524

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