Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 51.92%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.57%) and 1-0 (6.45%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.