Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Primorje had a probability of 19.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.93%) and 0-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.45%), while for a Primorje win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.