

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Stoke City | 
| 31.96% (  -0.19) | 27.13% (  0.08) | 40.9% (  0.11) | 
| Both teams to score 49.77% (  -0.31) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 44.51% (  -0.37) | 55.49% (  0.37) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 23.33% (  -0.3) | 76.67% (  0.3) | 
| Millwall Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 67.86% (  -0.32) | 32.14% (  0.32) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.38% (  -0.37) | 68.62% (  0.36) | 
| Stoke City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73.33% (  -0.11) | 26.66% (  0.11) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.09% (  -0.15) | 61.91% (  0.15) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Millwall | Draw | Stoke City | 
| 1-0 @ 9.73% (  0.05) 2-1 @ 7.3% (  -0.05) 2-0 @ 5.52% (  -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.76% (  -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.09% (  -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.83% (  -0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.96% | 1-1 @ 12.85% (  0.03) 0-0 @ 8.57% (  0.12) 2-2 @ 4.82% (  -0.05) Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.13% | 0-1 @ 11.32% (  0.12) 1-2 @ 8.5% (  -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.49% (  0.06) 1-3 @ 3.74% (  -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.3% (  0.02) 2-3 @ 2.13% (  -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.24% (  -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.09% (  0) Other @ 2.1% Total : 40.9% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 38 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 76 | 25 | 51 | 80 | 
| 2 | Burnley | 38 | 21 | 15 | 2 | 52 | 11 | 41 | 78 | 
| 3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 77 | 
| 4 | Sunderland | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 55 | 37 | 18 | 69 | 
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 38 | 17 | 8 | 13 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 59 | 
| 6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 57 | 
| 7 | Bristol City | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 57 | 
| 8 | Middlesbrough | 38 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 57 | 48 | 9 | 54 | 
| 9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 52 | 
| 10 | Watford | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47 | 51 | -4 | 52 | 
| 11 | Millwall | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 51 | 
| 12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 37 | 14 | 9 | 14 | 53 | 58 | -5 | 51 | 
| 13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 60 | 54 | 6 | 49 | 
| 14 | Preston North EndPreston | 38 | 10 | 17 | 11 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 47 | 
| 15 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 45 | 
| 16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 44 | 
| 17 | Portsmouth | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 42 | 
| 18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 55 | -16 | 42 | 
| 19 | Hull City | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 41 | 
| 20 | Stoke CityStoke | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 37 | 51 | -14 | 39 | 
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 42 | 62 | -20 | 39 | 
| 22 | Derby CountyDerby | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 38 | 
| 23 | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 | 
| 24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 38 | 7 | 12 | 19 | 40 | 77 | -37 | 33 | 
| > Championship Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
