Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.37%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 30.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.2%) and 2-1 (7.06%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (12.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
| 36.37% | 30.6% | 33.02% |
| Both teams to score 40.48% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.99% | 67.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.72% | 85.27% |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.8% | 35.19% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.05% | 71.95% |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.46% | 37.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.68% | 74.31% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 13.79% 2-0 @ 7.2% 2-1 @ 7.06% 3-0 @ 2.51% 3-1 @ 2.46% 3-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.15% Total : 36.37% | 1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 13.2% 2-2 @ 3.46% Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.59% | 0-1 @ 12.94% 1-2 @ 6.62% 0-2 @ 6.34% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 2.07% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.74% Total : 33.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Burnley | 33 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 64 | 28 | 36 | 73 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 30 | 24 | 61 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 57 |
| 4 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 52 |
| 5 | Millwall | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 33 | 7 | 50 |
| 6 | Luton TownLuton | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 50 |
| 7 | Watford | 33 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 50 |
| 8 | Sunderland | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 49 |
| 9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 49 |
| 10 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 6 | 45 |
| 11 | Coventry CityCoventry | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 45 |
| 12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 42 |
| 13 | Hull City | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 42 |
| 14 | Preston North EndPreston | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 42 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 42 | 41 | 1 | 41 |
| 16 | Reading | 32 | 12 | 5 | 15 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 41 |
| 17 | Stoke CityStoke | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 40 | -1 | 40 |
| 18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 39 |
| 19 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 38 |
| 20 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 33 | 8 | 12 | 13 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 36 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 35 |
| 22 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 32 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 31 |
| 23 | Blackpool | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 32 | 48 | -16 | 31 |
| 24 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 31 |
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