

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 45.39%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Rotherham United had a probability of 27.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.93%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.87%), while for a Rotherham United win it was 0-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Rotherham United | 
| 45.39% (  -2.68) | 27.6% (  0.06) | 27.01% (  2.62) | 
| Both teams to score 45.98% (  1.86) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 40.88% (  1.34) | 59.12% (  -1.34) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 20.44% (  1.02) | 79.56% (  -1.02) | 
| Stoke City Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74% (  -0.71) | 26% (  0.71) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.97% (  -0.97) | 61.03% (  0.97) | 
| Rotherham United Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 62.14% (  3.08) | 37.86% (  -3.08) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.36% (  2.87) | 74.63% (  -2.87) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Stoke City | Draw | Rotherham United | 
| 1-0 @ 13.26% (  -0.97) 2-0 @ 8.93% (  -0.85) 2-1 @ 8.67% (  -0.06) 3-0 @ 4.01% (  -0.47) 3-1 @ 3.9% (  -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.89% (  0.1) 4-0 @ 1.35% (  -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.31% (  -0.06) Other @ 2.07% Total : 45.39% | 1-1 @ 12.87% (  0.16) 0-0 @ 9.85% (  -0.5) 2-2 @ 4.21% (  0.31) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.59% | 0-1 @ 9.56% (  0.32) 1-2 @ 6.25% (  0.58) 0-2 @ 4.64% (  0.51) 1-3 @ 2.03% (  0.34) 0-3 @ 1.5% (  0.27) 2-3 @ 1.36% (  0.2) Other @ 1.66% Total : 27.01% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 | 
| P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 | 
| 3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 | 
| 4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 | 
| 5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 | 
| 6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 | 
| 7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 | 
| 8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 | 
| 9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 | 
| 10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 | 
| 11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 | 
| 12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 | 
| 13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 | 
| 14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 | 
| 15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 | 
| 16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 | 
| 17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 | 
| 18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 | 
| 19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 | 
| 20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 | 
| 21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 | 
| R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 | 
| R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 | 
| R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 | 
| > Championship Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
