Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 24
Feb 3, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
Dundee2 - 3Hearts
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aberdeen 1-1 Dundee
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Tuesday, January 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Hearts 2-0 Aberdeen
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
We said: Dundee 0-2 Hearts
Results have been very varied between these two sides at Dens Park since Dundee's top-flight return in 2012, with the hosts 7-5 up in terms of wins in 13 meetings. However, with Hearts' current form, it is hard to look past the visitors repeating the feat of their success over Dundee last month to maintain that healthy lead in third. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hearts win with a probability of 50.52%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 26.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hearts win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hearts would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Hearts |
26.19% ( -0.21) | 23.29% ( 0.13) | 50.52% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.59% ( -0.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.68% ( -0.77) | 42.32% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.28% ( -0.78) | 64.72% ( 0.78) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.47% ( -0.57) | 29.52% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.46% ( -0.7) | 65.54% ( 0.7) |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.14% ( -0.25) | 16.86% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.12% ( -0.46) | 46.88% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
Dundee 26.19%
Hearts 50.53%
Draw 23.28%
| Dundee | Draw | Hearts |
| 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 3.7% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.24% Total : 26.19% | 1-1 @ 10.81% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.28% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.23)0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 5.71% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.68% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 2.08% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.2% Total : 50.53% |
How you voted: Dundee vs Hearts
Dundee
19.2%Draw
0.0%Hearts
80.8%26
Head to Head
Aug 27, 2023 3pm
