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Orlando City
Major League Soccer
May 11, 2025 at 12.30am UK
Spectrum Stadium
New England Revolution

Orlando City
3 - 3
New England

Ojeda (24', 33', 55' pen.)
Brekalo (76'), Araujo (77'), Gallese (80'), Dan Thor­halls­son (90+11')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Yusuf (38'), Polster (44'), Gil (85' pen.)
Ivacic (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's MLS Playoffs clash between Orlando City and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 Orlando City
Sunday, May 4 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Toronto 0-2 New England
Saturday, May 3 at 9.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Orlando City 1-1 New England Revolution

Taking New England's defensive record into account, we can only predict a low-scoring contest between these two teams. Although Orlando City boast one of the best attacks, a draw could play out, one that suits neither side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Orlando City win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw has a probability of 22.2% and a win for New England Revolution has a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.38%), while for a New England Revolution win it is 1-2 (5.62%).

Result
Orlando CityDrawNew England Revolution
56.62% (-2.22 -2.22) 22.17% (0.56 0.56) 21.2% (1.658 1.66)
Both teams to score 56.3% (0.791 0.79)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.45% (-0.226 -0.23)42.55% (0.224 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.04% (-0.225 -0.23)64.95% (0.223 0.22)
Orlando City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.15% (-0.78 -0.78)14.84% (0.777 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.84% (-1.508 -1.51)43.16% (1.506 1.51)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (1.519 1.52)33.89% (-1.521 -1.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44% (1.611 1.61)70.56% (-1.613 -1.61)
Score Analysis
    Orlando City 56.62%
    New England Revolution 21.2%
    Draw 22.17%
Orlando CityDrawNew England Revolution
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-0 @ 9.15% (-0.429 -0.43)
3-1 @ 6.3% (-0.207 -0.21)
3-0 @ 5.82% (-0.445 -0.45)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.031 0.03)
4-1 @ 3% (-0.186 -0.19)
4-0 @ 2.78% (-0.297 -0.3)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.15% (-0.105 -0.11)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.146 -0.15)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 56.62%
1-1 @ 10.38% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.196 0.2)
0-0 @ 5.03% (0.05 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.17%
1-2 @ 5.62% (0.354 0.35)
0-1 @ 5.44% (0.273 0.27)
0-2 @ 2.95% (0.261 0.26)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.205 0.21)
2-3 @ 1.93% (0.146 0.15)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 21.2%

How you voted: Orlando City vs New England

Orlando City
42.9%
Draw
28.6%
New England Revolution
28.6%
7
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2024 12.30am
Orlando City
3-0
New England
Santos (22'), Torres (45+2' pen.), McGuire (74')
Cartagena (52')

Parker (37'), Enrique (68'), Boateng (78'), Bajraktarevic (90+3')
Jul 14, 2024 12.30am
New England
1-3
Orlando City
Vrioni (23')
Harkes (68')
Torres (51', 81'), Enrique (59')
Jansson (50'), Schlegel (78')
Oct 8, 2023 12.30am
Orlando City
3-2
New England
McGuire (31'), Torres (37'), Angulo (45')
Gil (42', 90+3')
McNamara (84')
Jun 18, 2023 12.30am
New England
3-1
Orlando City
Boateng (51'), Bou (69'), Gil (85')
Buck (84'), Edwards Jr. (90+3'), Edwards Jr. (90+4')
McGuire (80')
Araujo (3'), Halliday (22')
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
Orlando City
0-3
New England

Carlos (6'), Jansson (66'), Araujo (85')
Polster (20'), Kaptoum (51'), Kessler (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver118212281426
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Seattle SoundersSeattle125431914519
4Portland TimbersPortland115332119218
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles115241716117
6Colorado RapidsColorado124531516-117
7Dallas124441520-516
8Austin FCAustin12516815-716
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes124262420414
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12255812-411
12Houston DynamoHouston122461118-710
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas102171621-57
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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