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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 18.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.
Result | ||
New England Revolution | Draw | Orlando City |
58.7% (![]() | 22.87% (![]() | 18.43% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.5% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.65% (![]() | 49.35% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.6% (![]() | 71.4% (![]() |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.51% (![]() | 16.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.78% (![]() | 46.22% (![]() |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.27% (![]() | 40.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.69% (![]() | 77.31% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New England Revolution | Draw | Orlando City |
1-0 @ 12.1% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.9% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.8% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.55% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.89% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.64% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.06% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 1.99% Total : 58.69% | 1-1 @ 10.87% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.72% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.4% ( ![]() Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.86% | 0-1 @ 6.03% (![]() 1-2 @ 4.88% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.71% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.46% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.32% ( ![]() Other @ 2.02% Total : 18.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 40 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 35 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
7 | Orlando City | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | DC United | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 23 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Toronto | 18 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
12 | New York City FCNY City | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 17 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 28 |
4 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 27 |
5 | Dallas | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
7 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 23 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 20 |
11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 20 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 19 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |