Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honduras win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Barbados had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Honduras win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Barbados win was 1-2 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%).