MX23RW : Wednesday, June 21 07:46:47| >> :120:26107:26107:
Moldova national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadionul Zimbru
Poland national football team
Moldova
3 - 2
Poland
Nicolaescu (48', 79'), Baboglo (85')
Baboglo (51'), Nicolaescu (80'), Railean (89'), Reabciuk (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Milik (12'), Lewandowski (34')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Moldova and Poland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Albania 2-0 Moldova
Saturday, June 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Poland 1-0 Germany
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Moldova 0-1 Poland

Moldova have clearly tightened things up a little since appointing Clescenco, with their goalless draw against Czech Republic in March showing they are not the pushovers they have been in previous qualifying campaigns. However, Poland should be full of confidence after defeating Germany on Friday, and we can envisage another tight victory for them to bolster their hopes of claiming a top two spot in Group E. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Poland win with a probability of 52.51%. A draw has a probability of 24.4% and a win for Moldova has a probability of 23.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Poland win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.64%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Moldova win it is 1-0 (6.99%).

Result
MoldovaDrawPoland
23.08% (0.911 0.91) 24.4% (0.48 0.48) 52.51% (-1.387 -1.39)
Both teams to score 51.6% (-0.347 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50% (-1.019 -1.02)49.99% (1.021 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02% (-0.916 -0.92)71.98% (0.91799999999999 0.92)
Moldova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.71% (0.29 0.29)36.29% (-0.287 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.92% (0.291 0.29)73.07% (-0.289 -0.29)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.99% (-0.916 -0.92)19% (0.919 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.44% (-1.545 -1.55)50.56% (1.548 1.55)
Score Analysis
    Moldova 23.08%
    Poland 52.51%
    Draw 24.4%
MoldovaDrawPoland
1-0 @ 6.99% (0.338 0.34)
2-1 @ 5.88% (0.162 0.16)
2-0 @ 3.54% (0.197 0.2)
3-1 @ 1.99% (0.07 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.65% (0.01 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.2% (0.076 0.08)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 23.08%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.23 0.23)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.282 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.89% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 11.45% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-2 @ 9.51% (-0.165 -0.17)
1-3 @ 5.34% (-0.211 -0.21)
0-3 @ 5.26% (-0.251 -0.25)
2-3 @ 2.7% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.22% (-0.156 -0.16)
0-4 @ 2.19% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-4 @ 1.12% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 52.51%

How you voted: Moldova vs Poland

Moldova
16.9%
Draw
12.3%
Poland
70.8%
65
Head to Head
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