MX23RW : Friday, June 16 23:52:22| >> :60:366:366:
Poland national football team
friendly | Friendlies 1
Jun 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Narodowy
Germany national football team
Poland
1 - 0
Germany
Kiwior (31')
Szymanski (35')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Thiaw (61')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's friendly clash between Poland and Germany, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Germany could line up for Friday's international friendly with Poland.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Poland 1-0 Albania
Monday, March 27 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Germany 3-3 Ukraine
Monday, June 12 at 5pm in International Friendlies

We said: Poland 1-2 Germany

There will undoubtedly be a few teething problems along the way as Germany become accustomed to their new shape, but defending has been an issue for Die Mannschaft for a while now, and a striker as lethal as Lewandowski will no doubt make Flick's side pay. The visitors can call upon their attacking talent in reserve to save the day, though, and with Poland also finding their feet under Santos, we expect Flick's side to get back on track in Warsaw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Germany win with a probability of 61.6%. A draw has a probability of 21.7% and a win for Poland has a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Germany win is 0-1 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.17%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Poland win it is 1-0 (5.38%).

Result
PolandDrawGermany
16.74% (-0.292 -0.29) 21.65% (0.023 0.02) 61.6% (0.273 0.27)
Both teams to score 50.02% (-0.676 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.03% (-0.593 -0.59)46.97% (0.59800000000001 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.79% (-0.557 -0.56)69.21% (0.56100000000001 0.56)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.66% (-0.717 -0.72)41.34% (0.721 0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.14% (-0.638 -0.64)77.86% (0.642 0.64)
Germany Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.28% (-0.107 -0.11)14.72% (0.111 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.07% (-0.211 -0.21)42.93% (0.215 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Poland 16.74%
    Germany 61.6%
    Draw 21.65%
PolandDrawGermany
1-0 @ 5.38% (0.029 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.55% (-0.082999999999999 -0.08)
2-0 @ 2.37% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 1.34% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.055 -0.06)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 16.74%
1-1 @ 10.29% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.09% (0.151 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.36% (-0.098 -0.1)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 21.65%
0-1 @ 11.66% (0.25 0.25)
0-2 @ 11.17% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 7.13% (0.094 0.09)
1-3 @ 6.3% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-4 @ 3.42% (0.032 0.03)
1-4 @ 3.02% (-0.031 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.33% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-5 @ 1.31% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.16% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 61.6%

How you voted: Poland vs Germany

Poland
52.1%
Draw
15.5%
Germany
32.4%
71
Head to Head
Jun 16, 2016 8pm
Group Stage
Germany
0-0
Poland
Khedira (3'), Ozil (34'), Boateng (67')
Maczynski (45'), Grosicki (55'), Peszko (93')
Sep 4, 2015 7.45pm
Oct 11, 2014 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Poland
2-0
Germany
Milik (51'), Mila (88')
Szukala (20'), Lewandowski (56'), Piszczek (93')

Boateng (24'), Bellarabi (86')
May 13, 2014 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Germany
0-0
Poland
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
Today's games header
Tables

Real Madrid Until The End
Ted Lasso creative

Subscribe to our newsletter


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!