Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uruguay win with a probability of 81.66%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Cuba had a probability of 5.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uruguay win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.29%) and 1-0 (12.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.05%), while for a Cuba win it was 0-1 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Uruguay in this match.