Ecuador will be looking to build on their success over Bolivia last time out and should be confident of recording a win against Costa Rica in this one.
Los Ticos are in a bit of a crisis after a loss against Guatemala, and we can envisage another difficult evening from them against La Tri in the USA.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 63.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Costa Rica had a probability of 12.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.43%) and 2-1 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Costa Rica win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ecuador would win this match.
19.67) 
-20.69) 
