Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudan win with a probability of 36.45%. A win for Mauritania had a probability of 32.24% and a draw had a probability of 31.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudan win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.33%) and 2-1 (6.85%). The likeliest Mauritania win was 0-1 (13.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.