We say: Chesterfield 1-1 Walsall
Walsall may have found wins hard to come by in recent times, but they have proven to be a tough team to beat in recent away games, having lost just one of their last nine road trips.
In fact, they have drawn six of their previous eight away matches, and with that in mind, we think they will do enough to frustrate Chesterfield in Sunday's first leg.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesterfield win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Walsall has a probability of 25.89% and a draw has a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Walsall win is 0-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.36%).