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Nashville
Major League Soccer
Jun 18, 2023 at 1.30am UK
First Tennessee Park
St Louis City
Nashville
3 - 1
St Louis City
Williams (11', 70' pen., 75')
Bauer (37'), McCarty (45+1'), Washington (83'), Zubak (87')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gioacchini (41')
Vassilev (33'), Hiebert (54')
Hiebert (68')

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The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Nashville SC and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toronto 1-1 Nashville
Sunday, June 11 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: St Louis City 1-1 LA Galaxy
Sunday, June 11 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

We said: Nashville SC 2-0 St Louis City

Momentum is a funny thing, and when you have it, that can sometimes propel you to victory in matches where you do not deserve it. The tight defensive set-up of Nashville and a lack of creativity from St Louis away from home have us leaning towards the home team to claim all three points this Saturday.

How to watch

You can watch Nashville SC vs. St Louis City and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.

Result
Nashville SCDrawSt Louis City
68.37% (-0.31 -0.31) 18.54% (0.07 0.07) 13.09% (0.245 0.25)
Both teams to score 51.26% (0.489 0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.35% (0.276 0.28)40.65% (-0.273 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.96% (0.283 0.28)63.03% (-0.28 -0.28)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.13% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)10.87% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.02% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)34.98% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.51% (0.552 0.55)42.49% (-0.549 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.14% (0.47 0.47)78.86% (-0.465 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 68.36%
    St Louis City 13.09%
    Draw 18.54%
Nashville SCDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 11.37% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-0 @ 10.24% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.41% (-0.11 -0.11)
3-1 @ 7.2% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.67% (-0.062 -0.06)
4-1 @ 4% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.053 0.05)
5-0 @ 2.07% (-0.027 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.71% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 4.09%
Total : 68.36%
1-1 @ 8.77% (0.022 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.62% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.17% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 18.54%
0-1 @ 3.95% (0.011 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.75% (0.065 0.07)
0-2 @ 1.69% (0.03 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.19% (0.038 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 13.09%

How you voted: Nashville vs St Louis City

Nashville SC
86.7%
Draw
6.7%
St Louis City
6.7%
15
rhs 2.0
Real Madrid Until The End
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Tables

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC CincinnatiCincinnati17124127161140
2Nashville SCNashville18105328131535
3New England RevolutionNew England189633122933
4Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1793528171130
5Columbus Crew1884636261028
6Atlanta UnitedAtlanta187743529628
7Orlando City177552320326
8DC United196582626023
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC186482533-822
10CF MontrealMontreal177191927-822
11Toronto1831051721-419
12New York City FCNY City184771823-519
13New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls174761116-519
14Chicago Fire173862227-517
15Inter MiamiInter Miami1750121624-815

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1St Louis City1792634201429
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles168532516929
3Seattle SoundersSeattle188462417728
4San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes187652120127
5Dallas187562119226
6Houston DynamoHouston177372021-124
7Real Salt LakeSalt Lake186572028-823
8Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver175752721622
9Portland TimbersPortland185672024-421
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas195592127-620
11Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd175571522-720
12Austin FCAustin175481827-919
13Colorado RapidsColorado182791427-1313
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy163491427-1313

Real Madrid Until The End
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