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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 68.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for St Louis City had a probability of 13.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.24%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a St Louis City win it was 0-1 (3.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nashville SC would win this match.
Result | ||
Nashville SC | Draw | St Louis City |
68.37% (![]() | 18.54% (![]() | 13.09% (![]() |
Both teams to score 51.26% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.35% (![]() | 40.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.96% (![]() | 63.03% (![]() |
Nashville SC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.13% (![]() | 10.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.02% (![]() | 34.98% (![]() |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.51% (![]() | 42.49% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.14% (![]() | 78.86% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nashville SC | Draw | St Louis City |
2-0 @ 11.37% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.24% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.73% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.41% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.2% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 4.67% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.07% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.71% ( ![]() Other @ 4.09% Total : 68.36% | 1-1 @ 8.77% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.17% ( ![]() Other @ 0.99% Total : 18.54% | 0-1 @ 3.95% (![]() 1-2 @ 3.75% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.69% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.19% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 1.43% Total : 13.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 40 |
2 | Nashville SCNashville | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 35 |
3 | New England RevolutionNew England | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 33 |
4 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 28 |
6 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 18 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 28 |
7 | Orlando City | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | DC United | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 23 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Toronto | 18 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 19 |
12 | New York City FCNY City | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 19 |
13 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 17 |
15 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 15 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | St Louis City | 17 | 9 | 2 | 6 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 29 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 28 |
4 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 27 |
5 | Dallas | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 24 |
7 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 23 |
8 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 21 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 20 |
11 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 20 |
12 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 19 |
13 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |
14 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 13 |