Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Third Round clash between Fluminense and Olimpia.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 57.35%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Olimpia had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (11.82%), while for a Olimpia win it was 0-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.