Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Union La Calera had a probability of 19.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Union La Calera win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santos in this match.