Given the inconsistencies of both clubs, everything is pointing to this fixture being close. Espanyol will hope that Sociedad are tired from their exertions on Thursday, but we feel that the home side should do just enough to edge this contest to move into the top half of the table.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 64.16%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.07%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.22%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
0.55) 
-0.25) 
