Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 57.06%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
