

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 48.75%. A win for Hellas Verona had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.02%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Hellas Verona win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Atalanta BC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 28.83% | 22.42% | 48.75% |
| Both teams to score 64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.82% | 36.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.71% | 58.3% |
| Hellas Verona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.49% | 24.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.03% | 58.97% |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.77% | 15.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.12% | 43.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Hellas Verona | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-1 @ 6.94% 1-0 @ 5.25% 2-0 @ 3.69% 3-1 @ 3.26% 3-2 @ 3.06% 3-0 @ 1.73% 4-1 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.83% | 1-1 @ 9.88% 2-2 @ 6.54% 0-0 @ 3.73% 3-3 @ 1.92% Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.42% | 1-2 @ 9.3% 0-1 @ 7.02% 0-2 @ 6.61% 1-3 @ 5.83% 0-3 @ 4.15% 2-3 @ 4.1% 1-4 @ 2.74% 0-4 @ 1.95% 2-4 @ 1.93% 1-5 @ 1.03% 3-4 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.18% Total : 48.75% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 35 | 26 | 5 | 4 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 83 |
| 2 | Juventus | 35 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 69 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 35 | 21 | 3 | 11 | 66 | 37 | 29 | 66 |
| 4 | Lazio | 35 | 19 | 8 | 8 | 54 | 28 | 26 | 65 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 60 | 42 | 18 | 64 |
| 6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 36 | 18 | 7 | 11 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 61 |
| 7 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 45 | 33 | 12 | 59 |
| 8 | Monza | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 46 | 46 | 0 | 52 |
| 9 | Bologna | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 50 |
| 10 | Fiorentina | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 49 |
| 11 | Torino | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | Udinese | 35 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 44 |
| 14 | Empoli | 35 | 9 | 12 | 14 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 39 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 35 | 8 | 14 | 13 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 38 |
| 16 | Lecce | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 35 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 30 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 7 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 30 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 36 | 4 | 12 | 20 | 32 | 66 | -34 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 36 | 3 | 9 | 24 | 22 | 67 | -45 | 18 |
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