

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 63.68%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fiorentina | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 63.68% ( | 20.06% ( | 16.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.24% ( | 40.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.86% ( | 63.14% ( |
| Fiorentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.85% ( | 12.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.24% ( | 37.76% ( |
| Sassuolo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.82% ( | 38.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.05% ( | 74.94% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fiorentina | Draw | Sassuolo |
| 2-0 @ 10.3% ( 2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 3-0 @ 7.24% ( 3-1 @ 6.97% 4-0 @ 3.82% ( 4-1 @ 3.67% 3-2 @ 3.36% ( 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.61% ( 5-1 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.69% Total : 63.67% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.06% | 1-2 @ 4.53% ( 0-1 @ 4.47% ( 0-2 @ 2.15% ( 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 1-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 16.26% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
| 2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
| 3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
| 4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
| 6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
| 7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
| 8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
| 9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
| 10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
| 12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
| 13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
| 14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
| 15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
| 16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
| 17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
| 18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
| 19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
| R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
| > Serie A Full Table | |||||||||
