Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 76.2%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Parma had a probability of 9.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.52%), while for a Parma win it was 1-2 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Napoli in this match.
Result | ||
Napoli | Draw | Parma |
76.2% | 14.34% | 9.46% |
Both teams to score 54.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.67% | 30.33% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.41% | 51.6% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.43% | 6.57% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
75.55% | 24.46% |
Parma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.28% | 41.72% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.81% | 78.19% |
Score Analysis |
Napoli | Draw | Parma |
2-0 @ 10.16% 3-0 @ 9.23% 2-1 @ 8.88% 3-1 @ 8.07% 1-0 @ 7.46% 4-0 @ 6.28% 4-1 @ 5.49% 3-2 @ 3.53% 5-0 @ 3.42% 5-1 @ 2.99% 4-2 @ 2.4% 6-0 @ 1.55% 6-1 @ 1.36% 5-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 4.07% Total : 76.19% | 1-1 @ 6.52% 2-2 @ 3.88% 0-0 @ 2.74% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.17% Total : 14.34% | 1-2 @ 2.85% 0-1 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.13% 0-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.04% Total : 9.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 57 | 27 | 30 | 79 |
2 | Inter Milan | 37 | 23 | 9 | 5 | 77 | 35 | 42 | 78 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 76 | 34 | 42 | 74 |
4 | Juventus | 37 | 17 | 16 | 4 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 67 |
5 | Roma | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 54 | 35 | 19 | 66 |
6 | Lazio | 37 | 18 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 48 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Fiorentina | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 57 | 39 | 18 | 62 |
8 | Bologna | 37 | 16 | 14 | 7 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 62 |
9 | AC Milan | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 59 | 43 | 16 | 60 |
10 | Como | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 49 | 50 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Torino | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 44 |
12 | Udinese | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 44 |
13 | Genoa | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 40 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 37 | 9 | 9 | 19 | 40 | 54 | -14 | 36 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 65 | -33 | 34 |
16 | Parma | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 33 |
17 | Empoli | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 32 | 57 | -25 | 31 |
18 | Lecce | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 31 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 37 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 29 |
R | Monza | 37 | 3 | 9 | 25 | 28 | 67 | -39 | 18 |
> Serie A Full Table |