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Europa League

Ludogorets
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 7pm UK
Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Ludogorets
4 - 0
Petrocub

Duah (23'), Seco (59'), Almeida (90+1', 90+4')
Piotrowski (51')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Platica (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ludogorets Razgrad and Petrocub Hincesti, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ludogorets Razgrad

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Last Game: Ludogorets 2-7 Qarabag
Tuesday, August 13 at 7pm in Champions League
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Petrocub Hincesti

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Last Game: New Saints 0-0 Petrocub
Tuesday, August 13 at 6.30pm in Europa League
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 73.57%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Petrocub Hincesti had a probability of 10.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.01%) and 3-0 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.74%), while for a Petrocub Hincesti win it was 0-1 (3.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets RazgradDrawPetrocub Hincesti
73.57%16.33%10.1%
Both teams to score 48.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.58%38.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.29%60.71%
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.99%9.01%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.31%30.69%
Petrocub Hincesti Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.8%46.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.13%81.87%
Score Analysis
    Ludogorets Razgrad 73.56%
    Petrocub Hincesti 10.1%
    Draw 16.33%
Ludogorets RazgradDrawPetrocub Hincesti
2-0 @ 12.05%
1-0 @ 10.01%
3-0 @ 9.67%
2-1 @ 9.31%
3-1 @ 7.47%
4-0 @ 5.82%
4-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 2.89%
5-0 @ 2.8%
5-1 @ 2.16%
4-2 @ 1.74%
6-0 @ 1.12%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 73.56%
1-1 @ 7.74%
0-0 @ 4.16%
2-2 @ 3.6%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 16.33%
0-1 @ 3.21%
1-2 @ 2.99%
0-2 @ 1.24%
2-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 10.1%

How you voted: Ludogorets vs Petrocub

Ludogorets Razgrad
83.6%
Draw
13.7%
Petrocub Hincesti
2.7%
73
rhs 2.0
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