Ludogorets

3 - 1

Dinamo Batumi

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 55.85%. A win for Dinamo Batumi had a probability of 22.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Dinamo Batumi win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.