Argentine Primera Division
May 20, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Alberto Jose Armando
Boca Juniors0 - 1Independiente
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Boca Juniors and Independiente.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Boca Juniors 0-0 Lanus (4-2 pen.)
Sunday, May 11 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, May 11 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Independiente 1-0 Guarani
Thursday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 15 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Goals
for
for
24
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 40.9%. A win for Independiente had a probability of 30.27% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.04%) and 2-1 (8.04%). The likeliest Independiente win was 0-1 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boca Juniors | Draw | Independiente |
40.9% ( -1.2) | 28.82% ( -0.19) | 30.27% ( 1.38) |
| Both teams to score 44.39% ( 1.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
