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Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 16
May 4, 2025 at 10pm UK
Estadio Jose Dellagiovanna

Tigre
1 - 1
Boca Juniors

Scipioni (45+3')
Javier Moreno (4'), Scipioni (14'), Paz (25')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Zenon (21')
Velasco (25'), Battaglia (30'), Delgado (90+2')
Coverage of the Argentine Primera Division clash between Tigre and Boca Juniors.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estudiantes 0-0 Tigre
Monday, April 28 at 11.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Boca Juniors
Sunday, April 27 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigre win with a probability of 40.24%. A win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigre win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.09%) and 2-1 (7.7%). The likeliest Boca Juniors win was 0-1 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
TigreDrawBoca Juniors
40.24% (1.687 1.69) 29.74% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 30.02% (-1.717 -1.72)
Both teams to score 41.94% (-0.572 -0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.07% (-0.447 -0.45)64.92% (0.444 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.16% (-0.316 -0.32)83.84% (0.313 0.31)
Tigre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.35% (0.79199999999999 0.79)31.65% (-0.795 -0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.94% (0.904 0.9)68.06% (-0.907 -0.91)
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.36% (-1.567 -1.57)38.64% (1.564 1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.62% (-1.521 -1.52)75.38% (1.519 1.52)
Score Analysis
    Tigre 40.23%
    Boca Juniors 30.01%
    Draw 29.73%
TigreDrawBoca Juniors
1-0 @ 14.06% (0.52 0.52)
2-0 @ 8.09% (0.472 0.47)
2-1 @ 7.7% (0.134 0.13)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.245 0.25)
3-1 @ 2.95% (0.114 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 40.23%
1-1 @ 13.37% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 12.22% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.66% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 29.73%
0-1 @ 11.62% (-0.31 -0.31)
1-2 @ 6.36% (-0.304 -0.3)
0-2 @ 5.53% (-0.393 -0.39)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.189 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.75% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 30.01%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 11.15pm
Gameweek 18
Tigre
3-0
Boca Juniors
Paz (28'), Cardozo (85'), Medina (90+3')

Medina (32')
Feb 5, 2024 10.45pm
Gameweek 3
Tigre
0-2
Boca Juniors

Giacopuzzi (37'), Maroni (59'), Forclaz (72')
Merentiel (18'), Benedetto (23')
Lema (43'), Figal (72'), Fernandez (72')
Sep 3, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 3
Boca Juniors
0-1
Tigre

Fernandez (24'), Fabra (90+5'), Fabra (90+5')
Luciatti (38')
Prediger (30'), Rojas (59'), Garay (67'), Rojas (68')
May 28, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 18
Boca Juniors
1-0
Tigre
Merentiel (13')
Fabra (74')

Molinas (28'), Luciatti (54'), Menossi (90+4')
Jun 16, 2022 1.30am
Gameweek 3
Boca Juniors
5-3
Tigre
Benedetto (11', 77'), Zeballos (54', 74'), Demartini (57' og.)
Fernandez (49'), Zeballos (76'), Weigandt (80'), Fabra (90+1')
Figal (35' og.), Retegui (66', 89')
Sosa (76'), Blondel (82')
rhs 2.0
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