Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Rochdale |
| 51.82% ( | 25.69% ( | 22.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.17% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.5% ( | 55.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.32% ( | 76.68% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.54% ( | 21.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 45.51% ( | 54.49% ( |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.06% ( | 39.94% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.4% ( | 76.6% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Rochdale |
| 1-0 @ 13.19% ( 2-0 @ 10.15% ( 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 3-1 @ 4.78% ( 3-2 @ 2.19% ( 4-0 @ 2% ( 4-1 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 51.82% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 2-2 @ 4.28% ( Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 7.87% ( 1-2 @ 5.56% ( 0-2 @ 3.61% ( 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 1.35% Total : 22.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leyton Orient | 35 | 21 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 24 | 72 |
| 2 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 56 | 34 | 22 | 61 |
| 3 | Stevenage | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 60 |
| 4 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 59 |
| 5 | Bradford CityBradford | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 42 | 29 | 13 | 57 |
| 6 | Salford City | 35 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 37 | 14 | 56 |
| 7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 31 | 17 | 55 |
| 8 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 33 | 16 | 7 | 10 | 54 | 43 | 11 | 55 |
| 9 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 37 | 39 | -2 | 51 |
| 10 | BarrowBarrow | 35 | 15 | 6 | 14 | 38 | 41 | -3 | 51 |
| 11 | Swindon TownSwindon | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 49 |
| 12 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 48 |
| 13 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 33 | 14 | 5 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 47 |
| 14 | Walsall | 32 | 10 | 13 | 9 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 43 |
| 15 | AFC Wimbledon | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 33 | 8 | 15 | 10 | 29 | 40 | -11 | 39 |
| 17 | Grimsby Town | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 40 | -6 | 38 |
| 18 | Newport CountyNewport | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 37 |
| 19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 42 | -11 | 35 |
| 20 | Gillingham | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 34 |
| 21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 32 |
| 22 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 35 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 29 |
| 23 | Crawley TownCrawley | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 26 |
| 24 | Rochdale | 35 | 6 | 7 | 22 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 25 |
| > Full Version | |||||||||
