Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 45.45%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.73%).
| Result | ||
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven | 
| 31% | 23.54% | 45.45% | 
| Both teams to score 61.29% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.67% | 40.33% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.29% | 62.7% | 
| Fortuna Sittard Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 74.79% | 25.21% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.05% | 59.95% | 
| PSV Eindhoven Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 81.95% | 18.05% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 51.05% | 48.95% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Fortuna Sittard | Draw | PSV Eindhoven | 
| 2-1 @ 7.4% 1-0 @ 6.27% 2-0 @ 4.32% 3-1 @ 3.4% 3-2 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 1.98% 4-1 @ 1.17% 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.56% Total : 31% | 1-1 @ 10.73% 2-2 @ 6.33% 0-0 @ 4.55% 3-3 @ 1.66% Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.54% | 1-2 @ 9.19% 0-1 @ 7.79% 0-2 @ 6.67% 1-3 @ 5.25% 0-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 3.61% 1-4 @ 2.25% 0-4 @ 1.63% 2-4 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.72% Total : 45.45% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 39 | 14 | 25 | 37 | 
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 33 | 
| 3 | Ajax | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 32 | 
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 44 | 22 | 22 | 32 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 26 | 9 | 17 | 31 | 
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 28 | 
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 26 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 24 | 
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 | 
| 10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 19 | 
| 11 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 18 | 
| 12 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 29 | -9 | 16 | 
| 13 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 16 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 16 | 
| 14 | Vitesse | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 15 | 
| 15 | Groningen | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 33 | -16 | 12 | 
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 | 
| 17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 12 | 
| 18 | Cambuur | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 9 | 
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