Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 56.6%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.94%) and 0-1 (7.71%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 2-1 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.