Serie A | Gameweek 17
Spezia
2 - 1
Sampdoria
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 42.51%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 42.51% | 25.03% | 32.46% |
| Both teams to score 56.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
