Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torino win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Torino win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.