Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia Calcio win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Empoli had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Empoli win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spezia Calcio in this match.
